Thursday, September 02, 2004

Bush inching ahead

PoliPundit writes that President's Bush's numbers in Rasmussen's tracking poll are the best since March. Here are the numbers:
Date Bush Kerry
Sept 2: 49 45
Sept 1: 47 47
Aug 31: 47 46
Aug 30: 47 46
Aug 29: 48 45
Aug 28: 47 46
Aug 27: 46 46
Aug 26: 47 46
Prof. Reynolds asks if it's a bounce. Perhaps, but not necessarily fully attributable to the convention. The dates are release dates compiling data from the three prior nights. So if there is a convention bounce it will not show up fully until Friday or later.

Good news in any case, however. More relevant is that Bush seems to be surging (okay, perhaps poking ahead) in Rasmussen's electoral projections:
Date Bush Kerry
Aug 29: 213 207
Aug 28: 200 190
Aug 27: 183 193
Aug 22: 183 203
Aug 20: 183 223
Aug 18: 192 223
Aug 17: 192 228
Aug 9: 197 228
Aug 5: 197 232
Aug 3: 197 227
Jul 23: 208 227
Jul 12: 197 254
Jul 9: 203 247
Jul 8: 203 226
Jul 7: 203 237
Jun 21: 203 210
Jun 17: 188 227
Jun 9: 177 227