Tuesday, May 24, 2005

Handicapping the 2008 Democratic nominee race

Here, from tradesports.com, are the odds for possible Democratic nominees for the 2008 presidential elections. The number after each name represents the latest price (as of 2:10 p.m. eastern time today) paid for a contract which ultimately pays $100 if that person becomes the 2008 presidential nominee from the Republican[oops!] Democratic party.
  • Hillary Clinton, $43.70
  • Mark Warner, $10.20
  • Evan Bayh, $9.30
  • John Edwards, $7.00
  • Al Gore, $6.00
  • John Kerry, $6.00
  • Bill Richardson, $3.70
  • Joe Biden, $3.00
  • Jon Corzine, $2.60
  • Phil Breseden [sic], $2.10
  • Howard Dean, $1.30
  • Tom Vilsack, $1.20
  • Barack Obama, $1.00
  • Ed Rendell , $1.00
  • Colin Powell, $0.30
  • Wesley Clark, $0.20
  • Chris Dodd, $0.20
  • Russ Feingold, $0.20
  • Harold Ford, $0.20
  • Pat Leahy, $0.20
  • Joseph Lieberman, $0.10
Hillary Clinton's dominance over the rest of the field seems right to me in terms of likelihood of being nominated, if not in terms of fitness for the presidency.

Note that Colin Powell is the 15th most likely Democratic nominee and the 11th most likely Republican nominee. (See the Republican list here.)

Note that Instapundit's musings about his governor have not quite launched Bredesen into front runnership, or even into we know how to spell his name turf.