I'm not watching Kerry's speech tonight.  Working instead.

Here's my guess:  Those in the Bush camp will by-and-large not like the speech; those in the Kerry camp by-and-large will like it.

And none of that matters.

Kerry has to appeal to two audiences, tonight and every day until the election: 

• Likely voters who have not yet decided which candidate they prefer.
• Democrats who have not yet decided whether it's worth the effort to vote.

To my mind, the only relevant question, politically, is to what degree he is convincing those two audiences.